SPDN: An Inexpensive Way To Profit When The S&P 500 Falls

Summary
SPDN is not the largest or oldest way to short the S&P 500, but it’s a solid choice.
This ETF uses a variety of financial instruments to target a return opposite that of the S&P 500 Index.
SPDN’s 0.49% Expense Ratio is nearly half that of the larger, longer-tenured -1x Inverse S&P 500 ETF.
Details aside, the potential continuation of the equity bear market makes single-inverse ETFs an investment segment investor should be familiar with.
We rate SPDN a Strong Buy because we believe the risks of a continued bear market greatly outweigh the possibility of a quick return to a bull market.
Put a gear stick into R position, (Reverse).
Birdlkportfolio

By Rob Isbitts

Summary
The S&P 500 is in a bear market, and we don’t see a quick-fix. Many investors assume the only way to navigate a potentially long-term bear market is to hide in cash, day-trade or “just hang in there” while the bear takes their retirement nest egg.

The Direxion Daily S&P 500® Bear 1X ETF (NYSEARCA:SPDN) is one of a class of single-inverse ETFs that allow investors to profit from down moves in the stock market.

SPDN is an unleveraged, liquid, low-cost way to either try to hedge an equity portfolio, profit from a decline in the S&P 500, or both. We rate it a Strong Buy, given our concern about the intermediate-term outlook for the global equity market.

Strategy
SPDN keeps it simple. If the S&P 500 goes up by X%, it should go down by X%. The opposite is also expected.

Proprietary ETF Grades
Offense/Defense: Defense

Segment: Inverse Equity

Sub-Segment: Inverse S&P 500

Correlation (vs. S&P 500): Very High (inverse)

Expected Volatility (vs. S&P 500): Similar (but opposite)

Holding Analysis
SPDN does not rely on shorting individual stocks in the S&P 500. Instead, the managers typically use a combination of futures, swaps and other derivative instruments to create a portfolio that consistently aims to deliver the opposite of what the S&P 500 does.

Strengths
SPDN is a fairly “no-frills” way to do what many investors probably wished they could do during the first 9 months of 2022 and in past bear markets: find something that goes up when the “market” goes down. After all, bonds are not the answer they used to be, commodities like gold have, shall we say, lost their luster. And moving to cash creates the issue of making two correct timing decisions, when to get in and when to get out. SPDN and its single-inverse ETF brethren offer a liquid tool to use in a variety of ways, depending on what a particular investor wants to achieve.

Weaknesses
The weakness of any inverse ETF is that it does the opposite of what the market does, when the market goes up. So, even in bear markets when the broader market trend is down, sharp bear market rallies (or any rallies for that matter) in the S&P 500 will cause SPDN to drop as much as the market goes up.

Opportunities
While inverse ETFs have a reputation in some circles as nothing more than day-trading vehicles, our own experience with them is, pardon the pun, exactly the opposite! We encourage investors to try to better-understand single inverse ETFs like SPDN. While traders tend to gravitate to leveraged inverse ETFs (which actually are day-trading tools), we believe that in an extended bear market, SPDN and its ilk could be a game-saver for many portfolios.

Threats
SPDN and most other single inverse ETFs are vulnerable to a sustained rise in the price of the index it aims to deliver the inverse of. But that threat of loss in a rising market means that when an investor considers SPDN, they should also have a game plan for how and when they will deploy this unique portfolio weapon.

Proprietary Technical Ratings
Short-Term Rating (next 3 months): Strong Buy

Long-Term Rating (next 12 months): Buy

Conclusions
ETF Quality Opinion
SPDN does what it aims to do, and has done so for over 6 years now. For a while, it was largely-ignored, given the existence of a similar ETF that has been around much longer. But the more tenured SPDN has become, the more attractive it looks as an alternative.

ETF Investment Opinion

SPDN is rated Strong Buy because the S&P 500 continues to look as vulnerable to further decline. And, while the market bottomed in mid-June, rallied, then waffled since that time, our proprietary macro market indicators all point to much greater risk of a major decline from this level than a fast return to bull market glory. Thus, SPDN is at best a way to exploit and attack the bear, and at worst a hedge on an otherwise equity-laden portfolio.

Buy Wholesale Clothes Before the Kid’s Clothing Stores Buy it All Up

It’s hard to clothe our children in ways we would like, especially since they grow up so fast. Sometimes you feel like you have to take out a small loan if you shop at the kid’s clothing stores in the mall. Even the clearance rack can feel overwhelming at times. This is why many families are starting to use wholesale children’s clothing websites for their clothing options. The product is still name brand clothes but for a fraction of the cost.The reason why many of these wholesale children’s clothing websites can offer the low prices is because they purchase the product from wholesalers or manufacturers who are going bankrupt or out of business. This means name brand clothing like Tommy Hilfiger, Nike, Carters, Calvin Klein and others suddenly become quite reasonable. These websites are doing their best to try to let the public know about the products they’re providing. They also market to kid’s clothing stores, but they will raise the price so they can increase their margins. So before the clothes are all bought up from a retailer, visit the wholesale website to buy your child’s upcoming wardrobe. You won’t be disappointed by what you find!Pros:
* Wholesale distributors are working to let the public know about their services.
* You can still get name brand clothing for a low price.
* By buying it before the retailer, you’ll be saving a ton of money.Cons:
* Items you want were bought by a retailer before you could hit purchase.
* There’s too many choices to pick from.
* You don’t know where to look for options.Stay ahead of the kid’s clothing stores by buying name brand wholesale children’s clothing for a small price. Your paycheck can then go to other areas of the monthly budget.

Northern Michigan Exciting Travel and Vacation Ideas on a Budget

Northern Michigan is the perfect travel and vacation destination with something to offer for everyone: Golfing, fishing, hiking, boating and other water activities to name just a few. With so much to offer and so much to see, making your vacation plans could be complicated, and with travel expenses and the price of gas higher than in more recent years, getting the most for your vacation dollar is important.Choose Boyne FallsMaking Boyne Falls, Michigan your travel and vacation destination will give you and your family more things to see and do in Northern Michigan and save money.o    Boyne Falls is centrally located to hundreds of the most popular vacationing activities.o    Only 6 miles from Lake Charlevoix, offering free boat launching, with plenty of free parking right on the lake.o    Minutes away from shopping, and dinning choices offering tasty burgers to exquisite fine dinning.o    Only 50 miles away from the Mackinaw Bridge.o    Home to the Annual Polish Festival held the First week of August.o    Boyne City Morel Mushroom festival.o    Close to dozens of Northern Michigan wineries.o    Enjoy golfing on some of the most popular courses in all of Michigan.o    Access to hiking, biking, fishing and almost endless possibilities of other fun and exciting things to see and do.The winter season is just as exciting and popular for your next vacation plan as well. Boyne Falls is located right next to Boyne Mountain and less than 30 minutes away from Nub’s Nob, and many other exciting snow skiing and winter sports locations. There is even hundreds of miles of action packed snowmobile trails that start in the Boyne Falls area.Comfortable Inexpensive LodgingThe focus of your vacation is going out and doing and seeing things, and the cost of lodging shouldn’t be a burden to your budget. By staying in Boyne Falls you can save hundreds of dollars on lodging, and get all of the creature comforts that those higher prices hotel chains offer at almost double the price. There are many local motels in the area that offer the same amenities as the more higher prices hotel and motel chains, but change up 60% less, and with savings like that you put that money back in your pocket where it belongs and have more money available to see and do more on your vacation!The bottom line in planning your vacation is to get the most value for your money and open up your options for sightseeing, and just having more fun, and Boyne Falls can make all of that a reality for less money and offering more fun all at the same time!o    3 airports super close, with one right in town, one 6 miles away in Boyne City, and Pellston Regional Airport only 35 miles away serving many major airlines companies.o    Access to local rental cars, boats, jet skis, bicycles.o    A large variety of shops and stores for your convenience.o    Perfectly located to all of the areas more popular tourist, and sightseeing attractions.There is truly something for everyone in Boyne Falls. Isn’t it time you vacationed in Boyne Falls Michigan?